Wednesday 29 February 2012

Colywobbles

I've started to lose my nerve. Only a bit, and it was the result the sudden fall in the gold price. It should not have come as a surprise because it has had several failed attempts at the $1800 level. The silver price has followed. I snatched profits as the fall began. By then the various mining stocks were wobbling. I was too late to grab profit except in LMI where I managed to take 4% accumulated since Feb 7. I've held onto the remaining miners where there is a reasonable chance of recovery since they do not specialise in precious metals.

Last night I threw in the towel on ALVR where I was nursing a 15% loss. As ever you tend to give up just as the bottom has been reached and today we see a small recovery. Makes you want to spit.

With less pressure on my cash I have bought some more from my patented strategy filter. I bought VP. BMY and upped my stake in LAM. ISA's don't let you buy AIM shares and I still don't have sterling cash to spend in my SIPP. As a result I've had to give the AIM shares that came up as candidates a miss till I can free up some more cash.

Back to the panic. The DJI is stuck. It's hovering just above a resistance line and if you add in the days it hovered below it has been sitting there for a month. Will it make the break or is 12875, the high reached last May, going to be a step too far. Yesterday it closed above the 13000 mark and it keeps nudging that level but it needs to move convincingly above it before I will feel confident that resistance has been broken. I wonder if that fall in the precious metals price is a break in the link between gold and Dow. I've just put my money on that bet. But I'm nervous as I walk away from the bookie's counter.

2 comments:

Andy said...

>As ever you tend to give up just as the bottom
> has been reached

And I thought it was just me!

I find that automatic stop-losses are a guarantor of unhappiness: one-touch, and it's gone (often to recover)

paulus said...

Hello Andy

And I thought you were a realist. No room for superstition. And yet how is it that it happens so often. You stop your loss and if you had waited a day you the price would have stopped it for you, It MUST be magic.

I just say hey ho and move on.

I never use automatic stop losses but there comes a time that you have to admit you were wrong. Doesn't stop you buying back the same share at a higher OR a lower price.

all the best P